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THE ECONOMICS GUY

Economics For Small & Medium-Sized Businesses

Update
 

​Today the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported strong job growth.  A total of 254,000 jobs were created in September.  Blowing away expectationsHave you heard there is an election a month from now?  Turns out the people that reported massive errors a few weeks back (see below) are telling us of a Biden Harris boom right before the election.

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I am shocked. 

 

We are a nation running on fumes, run by fools from both parties.  Did I mention in this boom we have a deficit approaching $2 trillion per year?

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The Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 50 basis points (.50% to most Americans).  The prime rate is now 8.00% down from 8.50% prior. 

 

Job creation numbers were dramatically overstated for the twelve month period running April 2023 through March 2024.  This might lead one to be cynical regarding the role politics plays in government reporting.  More details...

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Debt. Debt. Debt.  We are buried in debt at all levels.  Take a look at the Economic News Section.  Truly scary for our future.

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Second quarter GDP came in well above expectations at 2.8%.  All in all good news.  A few concerns in the report.  Personal savings rates are falling.  We have record credit card debt.  Inventories are building.  I will bet we move to lower growth.

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A link to a great piece on the Crowdstrike/Microsoft meltdown is in Economic News.  These failures can have profound effects on the growth rate of the economy.  This issue is the last thing a slowing economy needed.  

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Projections for the 2024 Federal deficit were updated.  Bad?  How about horrific.  The economy and inflation is being driven by borrowed money chasing goods and services.  We are our own worst enemy.  A day of reckoning is ahead.  See more in Economic News.

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A section on the importance of cost of capital has been added.  Understanding cost of capital and the relation to return on assets is critical to the success of your business.

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Inflation is in the news and a piece of analysis on the impact of inflation on your profit and loss has been added as well.

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